Friday, 18 February 2011

the march has begun

... but Egypt and friends are just the beginning.

Official unemployment in Northern Africa, Arabia and Iran
source: GEAB

With no jobs (real unemployment is more like three times the above rates), no value-added chains, no production base, climate change and the banksters' commodity bonanzas, i.e. soaring food and energy prices, the way north sounds like the only attractive option.

The case for urgent action in the global food system is now compelling. We are at a unique moment in history as diverse factors converge to affect the demand, production and distribution of food over the next 20 to 40 years.
The needs of a growing world population will need to be satisfied as critical resources such as water, energy and land become increasingly scarce. The food system must become sustainable, whilst adapting to climate change and substantially contributing to climate change mitigation.
There is also a need to redouble efforts to address hunger, which continues to affect so many. Deciding how to balance the competing pressures and demands on the global food system is a major task facing policy makers, and was the impetus for this Foresight Project.

The above you will find in a foreword of  Professor Sir John Beddington CMG, FRS, Chief Scientific Adviser to HM Government, and Head of the Government Office for Science for a report on "The Future of Food and Farming: Challenges and choices for global sustainability"; well worth reading, not only in reference to the above but in its repercussions for our own future.

Global warming has caused the more temperate regions of the earth to become uninhabitable. A group of several thousand Africans migrate across the dry oceans to Europe. But this so-called promised land is overpopulated already, sparking severe racial and nationalistic tensions.

Above summary of The March, a 1990 UK drama might have included dry oceans and exaggerated the climate development; however, incapable politics and unleashed banksters make a drama reality which will hardly limit itself to several thousand African migrates.


... and why Sterling should take shelter:

Proportion of the population under 25 years old in Arab countries and Iran
Source: Le Temps,

About half of the Arab population is under 25 years old; in extremely difficult circumstances with soaring food and energy prices, low wages (if any), rising unemployment, reduced to a wasting away farming industry this young Arab generation will fight fundamentalists taking over; they want democracy; that might be the nice side of the picture. But with no infrastructure in place and old bonds and hardliners hardly giving up easily it might take a generation ( 30 years) to establish reliable democratic structures.

Meanwhile the once-was-superpower's influence is fading away fast leaving behind a powder keg filled with oil and Israel with a burning fuse as just that superpower's protection for the last resorts of despotism will just not do its job leaving behind more uncontrollable chaos.

With Russia watching and China being prepared the time of the Petrodollar is coming to its end.

Pound Sterling! You should just watch and be prepared for the very moment when it will be time to take shelter under what ever EURO there is for the simple task to weather out the storm! May be as soon as tomorrow!!?

Carpe diem!


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