Sunday, 26 April 2009

Fast…? How fast?

NSIDC: website

Models' values?

A wee question in between all the good and bad banking stuff: Take a look at the graph below on real and "expected" ice extent in the Artic: if the blue area represents the "Standard Deviation of Models" and the red line represents the reality: how will we make sure that our models catch up with and actually reflect reality?

The graph represents the reliability of our combined efforts to understand this globe and its rules by putting thousands of scientists and tons of money into models that refuse to portray reality - or for that matter even take reality into account.

We should accept that we know too little; and then too much to accept this fact.

As always!

Carpe diem!


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